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Tressy Tan Member Star
Total Cumulative Posts 12
Joined Dec 2018
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CorporateSTOCK: AAX (5238)
Blog 22 Feb 2019, 10:59:18 AM

Outlook for 2019. AAX will be adding up to 5 aircraft in 2019, with all allocated to TAAX. The Group expects operational CASK ex-fuel to be lower in the coming quarters due to cost saving initiatives mainly driven by lower aircraft lease rates and ground handling cost at some foreign stations. AAX targets to save on aircraft lease rates by c.USD19m per annum from March 2019 onwards. To-date, AAX has hedged about 51%-53% of fuel cost (i.e. Brent) at USD61-67/bbl for 2019 (Table 4).

CorporateSTOCK: AAX (5238)
Blog 22 Feb 2019, 10:59:08 AM

Associates’ performance. Thailand (TAAX) reported a net loss of USD7m for 4QFY18 mainly due to higher fuel costs. During the quarter, TAAX average base fare was down 5% YoY to USD138. This was mainly to stimulate demand for its new route to Nagoya launched in October 2018, though softer demand from Chinese tourists also weighed on fares. Meanwhile for IAAX, management plans to operate on a non-scheduled commercial basis. Currently, the aircraft remain grounded as it still finalising the lessor for the wet lease option.

CorporateSTOCK: AAX (5238)
Blog 22 Feb 2019, 10:58:58 AM

Lower EBITDAR amid lower revenue and higher fuel costs. AAX reported lower cost per average seat km excluding fuel (CASK ex-fuel) for 4QFY18 to 6.94 sen (-16% YoY) amid lower maintenance, overhaul and user charge costs (-18% YoY) due to lower ground handling cost at foreign stations. Other operating expenses also declined by 39% YoY as it cut its marketing expenses during the quarter. Total fuel cost during the quarter increased 27% YoY to RM488.2m due to average fuel price increasing 29% YoY to USD89/bbl (vs USD69/bbl in 4Q17). During the quarter, it also recognised an impairment on amount due from Indonesia (IAAX) amounting to RM23.5m, bringing its full year provision to RM161.7m.

CorporateSTOCK: AAX (5238)
Blog 22 Feb 2019, 10:58:47 AM

4QFY18 revenue declined 6% YoY to RM1.1bn, bringing its FY18 revenue to RM4.5bn for a flattish YoY growth. This is mainly due to a drop in average base fare to RM490 (-6% YoY) on the back of promotional fares for new routes as well as termination of longer haul routes e.g. Kathmandu and Tehran. Meanwhile, ancillary revenue per passenger also weakened by 3% YoY to RM171, in-line with lower passengers carried during the quarter (-3% YoY) and lower baggage and onboard meals sold per passenger

CorporateSTOCK: AAX (5238)
Blog 22 Feb 2019, 10:58:32 AM

AAX reported a headline net loss of RM99.3m in 4QFY18. Excluding a forex gain of RM12.7m, deferred tax charge of RM117.3m, other one-off loss of RM14.1m and impairment on amount due from IAAX of RM24m, the Group would have reported a core net profit of RM43m for 4QFY18. For full year FY18, AAX recorded a core net loss of RM57m, which was slightly below our loss estimates of RM63m but above consensus loss estimates of RM49m. We maintain our earnings forecasts and reiterate our Neutral call on AAX with target price of RM0.23, based on 10x FY19 EPS.

CorporateSTOCK: FPI (9172)
Blog 22 Feb 2019, 10:58:12 AM

  • Target Price RM1.76
  • Last closing price RM2.00
  • Potential downside -12.0%

Upside may be capped. FPI’s share price is forming a rounding top, signifying possible halt in prior surging rally. Weakening RSI and fast-paced MACD indicators currently signal an exit to sell into strength, anticipating performance in momentum and trend to remain weak in near term. Should support level of RM1.89 be broken, it may continue to drive price lower to subsequent support level of RM1.76. Note that the potential halt in uptrend presents an opportunity for profit taking instead of intraday short selling.

CorporateSTOCK: MPI (3867)
Blog 22 Feb 2019, 10:57:44 AM

This comes in line with the group’s 5-year plan of achieving 50% of its revenue derived from the automotive segment. Currently, the automotive segment represents 30% of the group’s total revenue. MPI is currently trading at a CY19F PE of 10.4x, below its 5-year average of 15x, while FY19F–FY21F dividend yield remains decent at 2%–3%.

CorporateSTOCK: MPI (3867)
Blog 22 Feb 2019, 10:57:34 AM

Moderating raw material prices coupled with a better product mix have played a part in improving operating margins. To a certain extent, we believe the company’s digitalisation initiative to adopt Industrial 4.0 in its facility may be starting to show early contribution towards cost savings. Going forward, the company will continue to benefit from its exposure in the automotive segment which offers bright prospects, backed by rising global light vehicle sales and growth in semiconductor content per vehicle. Furthermore, MPI’s strong net cash position opens up opportunities for the group to acquire new technologies, particularly in the automotive space.

CorporateSTOCK: MPI (3867)
Blog 22 Feb 2019, 10:57:23 AM

MPI registered a higher revenue for 1HFY19 at RM811.9mil (+3.7% YoY). Higher sales in Asia (+10.5% YoY) and Europe (+1.6% YoY) helped offset softer demand from the US (-14.1% YoY) which was likely affected by the US-China trade war. We attribute the stronger sales in Asia to the increasing demand for automotive-related jobs such as copper clip packaging and sensor packaging. Operationally, EBIT margin has improved 0.9ppt to 15.3% in 1HFY19 from 14.4% in the corresponding period, thanks to the portfolio rationalisation initiative which weeded out low-margin customers to focus its resources on higher margin businesses.

CorporateSTOCK: MPI (3867)
Blog 22 Feb 2019, 10:57:12 AM

We maintain BUY on Malaysian Pacific Industries (MPI) with an unchanged fair value of RM13.79/share. Our valuation is based on an unchanged CY19F PE of 14x. MPI’s 1HFY19 core net profit of RM81mil (+5.2% YoY) came in within our forecast and consensus estimates, accounting for 53% and 52% respectively. We keep our earnings projection unchanged.

CorporateSTOCK: EKOVEST (8877)
Blog 22 Feb 2019, 9:57:47 AM

EKOVEST BERHAD (8877.KL) shares are currently showing up on the list of gainers over the past month. During that time period, shares have seen a rise of 8.18%. Heading back 6 months, shares have seen moved -21.19%. Going a bit further, shares have moved -37.70% over the last full-year. Taking a much closer look, shares have moved 7.21% over the last week.

CorporateSTOCK: SAPNRG (5218)
Blog 22 Feb 2019, 9:57:03 AM

Malaysia-based oil and gas (O&G) services provider Sapura Energy Bhd is Austria-listed industrial company, OMV Aktiengesellschaft’s partner of choice.

OMV is a relatively new player in the Asia Pacific region.

“We were screening companies and assets in the region and Sapura top-ranked. We want to grow our business with Sapura,” the company’s deputy chief executive officer Johann Pleininger told Bernama here recently.

He was recalling the selection of Sapura Energy as the company’s new partner in the region, and which eventually saw the setting up of SapuraOMV Upstream Sdn Bhd in November last year, to focus on the Asia Pacific and Mexico.

He was met on the sidelines of the Asia Pacific Energy Award Dinner held here by the Energy Council, which saw OMV and Sapura claiming “The Asia Pacific Company of the Year of Upstream” and “The Asia Pacific Company of the Year of Energy Services, Offshore and Marine”, awards respectively.

According to Pleininger, Sapura Energy group’s production is expected to double or triple over the next five years through the strategic partnership.

“Sapura is right now producing about 10,000 barrels per day. We want to achieve 30,000 by the end of 2020 and around 60,000 to 70,000 in 2023,” he said.

Pleininger, who is also on OMV’s Executive Board, Upstream, described the partnership with Sapura Energy as a good idea.

He expressed OMV’s full commitment to Malaysia and the Asia Pacific region by looking at opportunities to increase business substantially.

“It (Sapura Energy) is a long-term partner,” he stressed.

Although OMV has been described as the “new kid on the block” in the region, it is currently the biggest oil and gas company in New Zealand.

It has also proven its capability by undertaking drastic cost-cutting measures over the last two or three years that saw its production cost fall from US$16.6 per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE) to below US$7.

“I think we are reaching the level we want to be now,” said Pleininger.

Commenting on the ability to run at a low cost to produce energy, Sapura Energy’s president and group chief executive officer, Tan Sri Shahril Shamsuddin, said: “It is an industry-wide effort to be agile, adept and to evolve from a very difficult time from four years ago, to a much better position (now).”

He said the industry’s ability to achieve a lower cost base through more effective execution was testimony “on how we work together to achieve this goal.”

Asked about the outlook of the O&G industry this year, Shahril sees things improving as stability comes in, with lots of activities and many good things happening.

As for Sapura Energy’s recent successful exercise to raise some RM4 billion via a rights issue, he said the company was now in a very good position to take advantage of the increased activities in the O&G industry.

Upon completion of the rights issue and joint venture with OMV, Sapura Energy’s gearing ratio will be reduced from 1.74 times to 0.62 times, which Shahril described as a good level for the amount of activities the company has.

On Sapura Energy winning the Asia Pacific Company of the Year of Upstream award, he paid tribute to Petronas, as the latter’s vendor development programme had enabled the company to build competencies to be a global player.

From a diving contractor to a fully-fledged upstream player, Sapura Energy now has a multinational workforce of about 9,000 and spectrum of capabilities covering engineering, construction and drilling (services segment), as well as exploration and production in more than 20 countries.

The services segment order book has grown to RM19.3 billion to date, the highest in the last two years, after having secured multiple contracts across the globe, including in Malaysia, Australia, India, Mexico, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia.

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